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Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 3:30 pm
by Friend or fart
To predict the General Election Results:- For me this is too difficult to call. But Tories 140 seats, Liberals 70+ seats, Reform 0-2 seats, Greens 3 seats. What do you reckon? Who is gonna be brave?
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 3:33 pm
by Orient_Man_And_Boy
Tories fewer than 100 seats
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 3:38 pm
by Max B Gold
RED TORIES 410
DIRTYFUKINTORYRATZ 125
SANDAL WEARERS 56
LENTIL MUNCHERS 2
NF/BNP/REFORM 10
INDEPENDENCE AVOIDING SCOTCH NATIONALISTS 20
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 6:43 pm
by Dunners
I'm still thinking that Reform will not get more than 2 MPs. And that the Tories will not go below 140 seats due to the shy vote turning up.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 6:57 pm
by Hoover Attack
Could just be my circle of associates but Reform are very, very popular.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:05 pm
by Dunners
You may be right. And the final Survation poll suggests that my predictions are bollocks.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:29 pm
by Proposition Joe
I think Labour will win.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:34 pm
by Qin
Despite a huge win for Labour, I predict, Starmer won't get as many votes as Corbyn did in 2017, and maybe not even quite as many as Corbyn did in 2019, which was labelled a terrible defeat.
Labour will get around 40% of the vote, which is the same as Corbyn did in 2017
Starmers a lucky guy to be leader when the Tories are so unpopular
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:53 pm
by Hoover Attack
Qin wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:34 pm
Despite a huge win for Labour, I predict, Starmer won't get as many votes as Corbyn did in 2017, and maybe not even quite as many as Corbyn did in 2019, which was labelled a terrible defeat.
Labour will get around 40% of the vote, which is the same as Corbyn did in 2017
Starmers a lucky guy to be leader when the Tories are so unpopular
It's not luck, it's Sirkieths 4d chess games which have meant he's leader now, not 9 years ago.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:58 pm
by StillSpike
Why would shy Tories turn up if everything is lost?
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:13 pm
by Mick McQuaid
Because the idea of a supermajority, despite being meaningless, has worked.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:16 pm
by Hoover Attack
StillSpike wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:58 pm
Why would shy Tories turn up if everything is lost?
People still vote, even if they know there's literally no point. I always do.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:16 pm
by Mick McQuaid
I'm trying to work out the cut off for doing a shot if a majority is overturned to not die, 18,000? Every past or current cabinet member gets one.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:21 pm
by y o y o y
StillSpike wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:58 pm
Why would shy Tories turn up if everything is lost?
Perhaps some of them are hoping for a 9.59pm overhead kick
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:23 pm
by Proposition Joe
y o y o y wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:21 pm
StillSpike wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:58 pm
Why would shy Tories turn up if everything is lost?
Perhaps some of them are hoping for a 9.59pm overhead kick
Not from the likes of Bellingham though. Someone a bit...less like him.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:32 pm
by y o y o y
Proposition Joe wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:23 pm
y o y o y wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:21 pm
StillSpike wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:58 pm
Why would shy Tories turn up if everything is lost?
Perhaps some of them are hoping for a 9.59pm overhead kick
Not from the likes of Bellingham though. Someone a bit...less like him.
I hear you.
But what's wrong with Brummies
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:38 pm
by Mick McQuaid
Labour 397
Conservative 156
Lib dem 66
Reform 2
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 10:20 pm
by Dunners
Dunners wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 6:43 pm
I'm still thinking that Reform will not get more than 2 MPs. And that the Tories will not go below 140 seats due to the shy vote turning up.
Oh well.
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 10:22 pm
by Mick McQuaid
If Reform get 13 seats I'll eat my hat*
* I don't actually have a hat
Re: Your Sir John Curtice Moment
Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 10:23 pm
by Proposition Joe
13 MPs is a good few more than I'd like but everyone already talking like they've won the whole thing. Mental.