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Re: U.S Election

Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:38 pm
by Long slender neck
It's funny. I don't care who they elect, so long as the entertainment value remains high.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:32 am
by Adz
Bookies in Oz are saying 90% of the betting is on Trump despite Biden being a clear favourite. Is this a case of a fool and his money, or the bookies having it wrong? Will be exciting to find out tomorrow.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:36 am
by slacker
An amusing aside: if Brits could vote, they’d go 3:1 Biden:Trumpy - with every constituency kicking out the Orange One.

https://www.politico.eu/article/not-a-s ... rump-poll/

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 5:54 pm
by tuffers#1

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:24 pm
by Currywurst and Chips
Prediction hasnt changed for last 2 months

Image

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:35 pm
by tuffers#1
Republicans not happy with turn out in Pennsylvania.

Looks like sleepy Joe might just be about to be

WOKE .

Still its all still up for grabs
😁

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:47 pm
by Currywurst and Chips

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:57 pm
by ComeOnYouOs
Goodbye Donald, turn the lights off, on your way out. ( And disinfect the place please)

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:58 am
by Currywurst and Chips

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:56 am
by Disoriented
I’m calling it now - Trump wins. 4 more years of The Donald.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 4:04 am
by Dunners
Just woke up for my 4.00am piss. Looked at the results starting to come in.

LOL.

Going back to bed.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 4:55 am
by Currywurst and Chips
Haha not again

Back to sleep for one

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:27 am
by PoliticOs
Georgia looking a bit more interesting now. If Arizona has gone too it swings back into action a bit. Weird election this.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:36 am
by Adz
I'm calling a Trump win. He looks like taking Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which will get him over the line. North Carolina could swing it to Biden as they still have 130,000 postal votes to count and have to wait up to the 12th November for them to come in, with Trump 80,000 ahead, but a bit of a long shot.

The polling companies need to be shut down, another disaster for them.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:46 am
by PoliticOs
The polling wasn't really wrong in some cases in 2016, it predicted more votes for Clinton.

He's taking Texas, Florida and North Carolina but I'm not sure about Georgia (now), Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Plus Arizona.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:53 am
by Adz
Biden confident on winning Pennsylvania and Michigan. Penn state would swing it to Biden if he wins that, Arizona, Michigan and Minnesota.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:03 am
by Currywurst and Chips
Just got Biden at 6/5... Having that

Image

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:04 am
by Thor

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:04 am
by Thor
AP are showing a trump win.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:09 am
by Adz
Digby Chicken Caesar wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:03 am Just got Biden at 6/5... Having that
What odds trump?

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:11 am
by Currywurst and Chips
Adz wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:09 am
Digby Chicken Caesar wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:03 am Just got Biden at 6/5... Having that
What odds trump?
4/6 with the same bookmaker (B365)

Biden now 6/4 with (B365)

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:53 am
by Adz
Adz wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:36 am I'm calling a Trump win. He looks like taking Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which will get him over the line. North Carolina could swing it to Biden as they still have 130,000 postal votes to count and have to wait up to the 12th November for them to come in, with Trump 80,000 ahead, but a bit of a long shot.

The polling companies need to be shut down, another disaster for them.
Think I'll be backtracking on this. NY Times calling Georgia leaning to Biden now and Wisconsin swing on votes counted so far would give it to Biden.

Interesting stuff whatever happens.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:19 am
by faldO
When I went to bed Trump was 3.15 (just > 2/1) and Biden 1.49 (just about 1/2) on Betfair. That is now completely reversed.

As Andrew Neil said, this election is a "dripping roast" for lawyers.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:22 am
by Dunners
Dunners wrote: Fri Aug 21, 2020 1:00 pm The Democrats are running an awful campaign so far.

I’ve watched a few of the speakers at the DNC, and most seem to follow the following pattern:

1. Trump is an awful man because [reasons].
2. Therefore, you must vote like your “life depends on it.”
3. America is broken because it’s “systematically racist”.
4. America is amazing, because you’re all wonderful too.
5. But we’re not divisive, oh no. We’re unifying. And better. Because we have… erm, empathy. Yeah, that’s it, empathy.
6. Oh, and by the way, Joe Biden for President. I thought I’d better mention his name at some point.

If I was a swing voter in the US, I’d not have a f*cking clue about a single thing the Democrats would do should they win power. They’re not asking for voters to necessarily vote for anything, only against something. And as a strategy, whenever it has been used previously, it has always been unsuccessful.

What a horribly vacuous and divisive campaign so far. Biden has managed to keep ahead in the polls, but only because he has been absent so far. If they lose this election it will be thoroughly deserved.
I still stand by this post on page 1.

The polls look like being wrong again. Even if they still manage to sneak a win, the Dems have run an awful campaign. Regardless of what we may think of Trump, they do not deserve anything.

Re: U.S Election

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:25 am
by Millennial Snowflake
Indeed, it’s like they’ve learned nothing from 2016