Coronavirus

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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Currywurst and Chips »

Mistadobalina wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:36 am
Prestige Worldwide wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 10:15 am
Mistadobalina wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:22 am UK death rate is now jumping up at a terrifying speed. Reports of hospitals in south London already reaching near capacity and there being nowhere near sufficient protective kit, ventilators or trained staff. The reality of this - not the inconvenience but the terrible human toll - looks like it's about to set in properly.
Evidence? It's been 40 for the last two days and thirty something the day before that.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.telegr ... italy/amp/
Could you C&P article given the paywall please?
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Ronnie Hotdogs »

Paywall.

I make a Caca right, I understood that the numbers in recent days were increasing by a similar amount (so a decreasing percentage rise), not jumping up at terrifying speeds?
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Mistadobalina »

Odd, wasn't when I read it.

Number of dead has nearly doubled in 2 days.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Long slender neck »

No it hasn't.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by BIGRON »

If people dont adhere to the recommendations many thousands will die , too many people just going about as if theres nowt to worry about , i reckon we should go into lockdown ...and soon 🤔🤔
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Real Al »

Prestige Worldwide wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 10:15 am
Mistadobalina wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:22 am UK death rate is now jumping up at a terrifying speed. Reports of hospitals in south London already reaching near capacity and there being nowhere near sufficient protective kit, ventilators or trained staff. The reality of this - not the inconvenience but the terrible human toll - looks like it's about to set in properly.
Evidence? It's been 40 for the last two days and thirty something the day before that.
https://www.ft.com/content/a26fbf7e-48f ... 5839e06441

That first chart doesn't make good viewing. We seem to have less cases, but that because we're not identifying them.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by BoniO »

BIGRON wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 12:25 pm If people dont adhere to the recommendations many thousands will die , too many people just going about as if theres nowt to worry about , i reckon we should go into lockdown ...and soon 🤔🤔
Agree Ron, we should have gone into lockdown some time ago IMO. Pubs and other gathering point should have been shut weeks ago too.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Mick McQuaid »

Streets of Notting Hill starting to look like those few days before carnival when all the poshos f*** off to their country homes for the duration. Only this time they filled the range rover with half the supermarket before they left.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Long slender neck »

53 dead today in England.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Dunners »

We appear to be tracking Italy's death rate by about 14 days. This time two weeks ago they saw one of their first big leaps in deaths, with 133 in one day. If the same happens here tomorrow or Monday then it suggests we're on the same trajectory. If fewer die then maybe we're doing something right. Here's hoping.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Real Al »

We are exactly 2 weeks behind Italy.

That means in less than a fortnight 800 people per day will be dying.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by DonaldRocks »

Dunners wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 7:23 pm We appear to be tracking Italy's death rate by about 14 days. This time two weeks ago they saw one of their first big leaps in deaths, with 133 in one day. If the same happens here tomorrow or Monday then it suggests we're on the same trajectory. If fewer die then maybe we're doing something right. Here's hoping.
Really frightening.

The USA appears to be on a much worse trajectory than Italy.
Last edited by DonaldRocks on Sat Mar 21, 2020 8:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by tuffers#1 »

Real Al wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 7:26 pm We are exactly 2 weeks behind Italy.

That means in less than a fortnight 800 people per day will be dying.
Thats how flu works.

Corona virus thoretically doubles every day.

If you watch ch4 "The Last Leg "
They do a demonstration with jelly babies ,

https://www.channel4.com/programmes/the-last-leg

Shocking how many could thoretically be dead.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Long slender neck »

Anyone found any decent graphs?
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by BoniO »

BIGRON wrote: Fri Mar 20, 2020 9:10 pm My mates just rung me from his local , he says as its the last evening everyone has turned up and its heaving in there , so glad ive stayed ar home , madness going to a packed place like that if you ask me .
My son runs a pub and said the same thing. It was party like it's 1999 night. It never fails to amaze me just how stupid and selfish people are.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by DonaldRocks »

BoniO wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 8:49 pm
BIGRON wrote: Fri Mar 20, 2020 9:10 pm My mates just rung me from his local , he says as its the last evening everyone has turned up and its heaving in there , so glad ive stayed ar home , madness going to a packed place like that if you ask me .
My son runs a pub and said the same thing. It was party like it's 1999 night. It never fails to amaze me just how stupid and selfish people are.
Many innocent and vulnerable people will pay for this in the next few weeks.

Testing and social distancing appears to be working in Ireland. I know it's early days but here's hoping.

https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/202 ... s-testing/
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Lucky7 »

Taiwan pointing the finger at the World Health Organisation
Could well have a valid point

https://amp.dailycaller.com/2020/03/20/ ... ssion=true
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Dunners »

Prestige Worldwide wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 8:40 pm Anyone found any decent graphs?
This one from the FT suggests UK and Spain are now on a steeper trajectory than Italy: www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Disoriented »

Dunners wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:41 pm
Prestige Worldwide wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 8:40 pm Anyone found any decent graphs?
This one from the FT suggests UK and Spain are now on a steeper trajectory than Italy: www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Behind a paywall.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Lucky7 »

Disoriented wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:53 pm
Dunners wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:41 pm
Prestige Worldwide wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 8:40 pm Anyone found any decent graphs?
This one from the FT suggests UK and Spain are now on a steeper trajectory than Italy: www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Behind a paywall.
Scroll down on this one Dis gives you each countries individual graph

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc. ... d-51235105
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Mikero »

The problem with comparing these figures is that the amount, frequency and place of testing is always going to distort things. We are only testing in hospitals with vastly more people having the mild symptoms at home and not being reported. Whereas other countries have tested more widely in and out of hospitals.

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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Long slender neck »

Deaths will give a better comparison.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Disoriented »

Lucky7 wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 10:05 pm
Disoriented wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:53 pm
Dunners wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:41 pm

This one from the FT suggests UK and Spain are now on a steeper trajectory than Italy: www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Behind a paywall.
Scroll down on this one Dis gives you each countries individual graph

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc. ... d-51235105
Thanks Lucky. 👍

What are Germany doing better than us?
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Max B Gold »

Disoriented wrote: Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:12 am
Lucky7 wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 10:05 pm
Disoriented wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:53 pm

Behind a paywall.
Scroll down on this one Dis gives you each countries individual graph

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc. ... d-51235105
Thanks Lucky. 👍

What are Germany doing better than us?
Heeding the advice of experts over ideologists like Boris and Cummings.

Boris has killed British people with his lack of understanding and leadership.

I don't say that lightly for some sort of political advantage.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Ronnie Hotdogs »

How does that explain them having 5 times more cases, but half as many deaths?

(Which my maths makes our mortality rate 10 times higher than theirs?)
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