Coronavirus

Chat about Leyton Orient (or anything else)

Moderator: Long slender neck

Still's Carenae
Fresh Alias
Posts: 784
Joined: Fri Apr 12, 2019 7:49 am
Has thanked: 36 times
Been thanked: 106 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Still's Carenae »

Smendrick Feaselberg wrote: Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:03 pm 25k cases and 492 new deaths reported today. What should it have been according to the data model?
What we need to knew is the number of deaths from respiratory disease higher than normal. If not these figures cannot be true.

The mass testing means that there are many false positives, the government have not released the figures for the false positives. In normal circumstances this is around 2.8%, but with so many different tests, this may be significantly higher. Therefore even a 10% result, may be meaningless. Today's results showed only 8% positive, against 25-35% in April.

The October figures for respiratory disease were normal for the time of year. Hospitals are also normal in terms of numbers ill for this time of year.

The figures quoted in the lockdown speech were already superceded by the same group and Whiitty and Valliance had access to the updated model.

OFCOM has prevented media outlets from reporting differing views on covid. Even facebook and twitter take down anything that goes against government views.

So what is going on?
PoliticOs
Tiresome troll
Tiresome troll
Posts: 1219
Joined: Thu Jun 04, 2020 5:07 pm
Awards: Funniest boarder 2011, 2014
Has thanked: 126 times
Been thanked: 382 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by PoliticOs »

What do you think is going on, please?

I appreciate everyone has a high passion, personal opinion on all of this - but i'm really tired of reading 'This doesn't all stack up' paragraphs followed by those five words at the bottom. What do you think is the reason?
User avatar
tuffers#1
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 9998
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:11 pm
Awards: Boarder of the year 2020 #1 Wordle cheat
Has thanked: 6291 times
Been thanked: 2728 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by tuffers#1 »

Why did they not release numbers yesterday .
492 dead, figure released wednesday .
No figure thursday .
Ronnie Hotdogs
MB Legend
MB Legend
Posts: 13069
Joined: Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:40 pm
Has thanked: 831 times
Been thanked: 2637 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Ronnie Hotdogs »

tuffers#1 wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 9:14 am Why did they not release numbers yesterday .
492 dead, figure released wednesday .
No figure thursday .
I’ve seen the number online, was somewhere below 400 (highest number of deaths on a Thursday since May).
Ronnie Hotdogs
MB Legend
MB Legend
Posts: 13069
Joined: Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:40 pm
Has thanked: 831 times
Been thanked: 2637 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Ronnie Hotdogs »

PoliticOs wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 1:25 am What do you think is going on, please?

I appreciate everyone has a high passion, personal opinion on all of this - but i'm really tired of reading 'This doesn't all stack up' paragraphs followed by those five words at the bottom. What do you think is the reason?
CONTROL
User avatar
Long slender neck
MB Legend
MB Legend
Posts: 13899
Joined: Fri Apr 12, 2019 9:13 am
Has thanked: 2421 times
Been thanked: 3164 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Long slender neck »

INCOMPETENCE
User avatar
tuffers#1
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 9998
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:11 pm
Awards: Boarder of the year 2020 #1 Wordle cheat
Has thanked: 6291 times
Been thanked: 2728 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by tuffers#1 »

Ronnie Hotdogs wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 9:16 am
tuffers#1 wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 9:14 am Why did they not release numbers yesterday .
492 dead, figure released wednesday .
No figure thursday .
I’ve seen the number online, was somewhere below 400 (highest number of deaths on a Thursday since May).
Yeah ive just seen that
👍
Smendrick Feaselberg
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 7326
Joined: Sat Apr 13, 2019 12:32 pm
Has thanked: 1099 times
Been thanked: 1343 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Smendrick Feaselberg »

tuffers#1 wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 9:14 am Why did they not release numbers yesterday .
492 dead, figure released wednesday .
No figure thursday .
Good spot. I thought the figures I'd quoted last night were the latest figures published on coronavirus.data.gov.uk, but obviously were a day out. Latest figures are just over 24k cases and 378 deaths,
Last edited by Smendrick Feaselberg on Fri Nov 06, 2020 12:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
tuffers#1
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 9998
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:11 pm
Awards: Boarder of the year 2020 #1 Wordle cheat
Has thanked: 6291 times
Been thanked: 2728 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by tuffers#1 »

Meant to post his the other day but forgot.

Sweden going all out in there bid to curb the spread of covid ?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-54797112

Coronavirus: Sweden brings in rule of eight for diners amid spike in infections
User avatar
Currywurst and Chips
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 5897
Joined: Sun Dec 22, 2019 10:40 am
Has thanked: 368 times
Been thanked: 1416 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Currywurst and Chips »

618,700 people had COVID in England last week according to the ONS
Smendrick Feaselberg
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 7326
Joined: Sat Apr 13, 2019 12:32 pm
Has thanked: 1099 times
Been thanked: 1343 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Smendrick Feaselberg »

The ONS survey suggests that the rate by which the virus is spreading is decreasing.

23k cases and 355 new deaths reported today. Second consecutive day that these have fallen.
User avatar
Long slender neck
MB Legend
MB Legend
Posts: 13899
Joined: Fri Apr 12, 2019 9:13 am
Has thanked: 2421 times
Been thanked: 3164 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Long slender neck »

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-54839359

They had the data for a month and didn't spot the errors? Why present deaths projections if it's hospital admissions that are most important?
Mickys Bullock
Fresh Alias
Posts: 88
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:19 pm
Has thanked: 11 times
Been thanked: 14 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Mickys Bullock »

Just 1 person in every 190,000 in UK (355 people) died 'With Covid' today.

1,600 died of other things - as they do every day.

And 68,000,000 of us are Locked Down.
User avatar
tuffers#1
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 9998
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:11 pm
Awards: Boarder of the year 2020 #1 Wordle cheat
Has thanked: 6291 times
Been thanked: 2728 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by tuffers#1 »

Mickys Bullock wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 4:26 pm Just 1 person in every 190,000 in UK (355 people) died 'With Covid' today.

1,600 died of other things - as they do every day.

And 68,000,000 of us are Locked Down.
68 million are not locked down

Fake news
User avatar
faldO
Tiresome troll
Tiresome troll
Posts: 1097
Joined: Mon Jun 03, 2019 10:21 pm
Been thanked: 238 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by faldO »

Prestige Worldwide wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 4:14 pm https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-54839359

They had the data for a month and didn't spot the errors? Why present deaths projections if it's hospital admissions that are most important?
It wasn't a question of spotting errors or even presenting something that the general public could reasonably be expected to understand. They knew exactly what they were presenting and defended it to the Select Committee on Weds.

To quote Theresa May:

It looks like "the figures have been chosen to support the policy rather than the policy being based on the figures".
A Pedant
Fresh Alias
Posts: 541
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 1:24 pm
Has thanked: 186 times
Been thanked: 172 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by A Pedant »

Mickys Bullock wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 4:26 pm Just 1 person in every 190,000 in UK (355 people) died 'With Covid' today.

1,600 died of other things - as they do every day.

And 68,000,000 of us are Locked Down.
What a strange mish-mash of statistics. Assuming that 1,600 number is right though, you don't think nearly 25% more deaths than an average day merits action?

Or if you want to present statistics as comparisons, almost exactly five times more people were reported in one day as having died following a Covid diagnosis yesterday than the 7/7 bombings in London - except the latter happened just once and the former is happening every day at the moment.
Mickys Bullock
Fresh Alias
Posts: 88
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:19 pm
Has thanked: 11 times
Been thanked: 14 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Mickys Bullock »

What a strange mish-mash of statistics. Assuming that 1,600 number is right though, you don't think nearly 25% more deaths than an average day merits action?

Could you provide your data on the 25% number please.
Mickys Bullock
Fresh Alias
Posts: 88
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:19 pm
Has thanked: 11 times
Been thanked: 14 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Mickys Bullock »

All cause mortality is at or below a five year average at this moment
User avatar
tuffers#1
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 9998
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:11 pm
Awards: Boarder of the year 2020 #1 Wordle cheat
Has thanked: 6291 times
Been thanked: 2728 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by tuffers#1 »

Mickys Bullock wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 4:57 pm What a strange mish-mash of statistics. Assuming that 1,600 number is right though, you don't think nearly 25% more deaths than an average day merits action?

Could you provide your data on the 25% number please.
He did .
Just like you did on here

You wrote some numbers on a post.

So did he .

Maybe you should provide a reputable source , then ask for the same from him or others
User avatar
tuffers#1
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 9998
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:11 pm
Awards: Boarder of the year 2020 #1 Wordle cheat
Has thanked: 6291 times
Been thanked: 2728 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by tuffers#1 »

Mickys Bullock wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 4:26 pm Just 1 person in every 190,000 in UK (355 people) died 'With Covid' today.

1,600 died of other things - as they do every day.

And 68,000,000 of us are Locked Down.
See just some numbers .
A Pedant
Fresh Alias
Posts: 541
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 1:24 pm
Has thanked: 186 times
Been thanked: 172 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by A Pedant »

Mickys Bullock wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 4:57 pm What a strange mish-mash of statistics. Assuming that 1,600 number is right though, you don't think nearly 25% more deaths than an average day merits action?

Could you provide your data on the 25% number please.
Er, it's your data. You said "1,600 died of other things - as they do every day" - if you're questioning your own data then fine, all I did was a bit of basic mathematics (355 is just under a quarter of 1,600).
A Pedant
Fresh Alias
Posts: 541
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 1:24 pm
Has thanked: 186 times
Been thanked: 172 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by A Pedant »

tuffers#1 wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 5:02 pm
Mickys Bullock wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 4:57 pm What a strange mish-mash of statistics. Assuming that 1,600 number is right though, you don't think nearly 25% more deaths than an average day merits action?

Could you provide your data on the 25% number please.
He did .
Just like you did on here

You wrote some numbers on a post.

So did he .

Maybe you should provide a reputable source , then ask for the same from him or others
To be fair to me, I did some maths on his numbers then wrote them. :D
User avatar
Thor
MB Legend
MB Legend
Posts: 10279
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 4:27 pm
Location: Asgard
Has thanked: 584 times
Been thanked: 1348 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by Thor »

Still's Carenae wrote: Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:22 pm
Smendrick Feaselberg wrote: Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:03 pm 25k cases and 492 new deaths reported today. What should it have been according to the data model?
What we need to knew is the number of deaths from respiratory disease higher than normal. If not these figures cannot be true.

The mass testing means that there are many false positives, the government have not released the figures for the false positives. In normal circumstances this is around 2.8%, but with so many different tests, this may be significantly higher. Therefore even a 10% result, may be meaningless. Today's results showed only 8% positive, against 25-35% in April.

The October figures for respiratory disease were normal for the time of year. Hospitals are also normal in terms of numbers ill for this time of year.

The figures quoted in the lockdown speech were already superceded by the same group and Whiitty and Valliance had access to the updated model.

OFCOM has prevented media outlets from reporting differing views on covid. Even facebook and twitter take down anything that goes against government views.

So what is going on?
Someone is starting to awaken. Keep looking the answers are there.
A Pedant
Fresh Alias
Posts: 541
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 1:24 pm
Has thanked: 186 times
Been thanked: 172 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by A Pedant »

Thor wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 5:12 pm Someone is starting to awaken. Keep looking the answers are there.
Oh joy, Mystic Thor's put his tinfoil hat back on again.
User avatar
tuffers#1
Boardin' 24/7
Boardin' 24/7
Posts: 9998
Joined: Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:11 pm
Awards: Boarder of the year 2020 #1 Wordle cheat
Has thanked: 6291 times
Been thanked: 2728 times

Re: Coronavirus

Post by tuffers#1 »

Thor wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 5:12 pm
Still's Carenae wrote: Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:22 pm
Smendrick Feaselberg wrote: Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:03 pm 25k cases and 492 new deaths reported today. What should it have been according to the data model?
What we need to knew is the number of deaths from respiratory disease higher than normal. If not these figures cannot be true.

The mass testing means that there are many false positives, the government have not released the figures for the false positives. In normal circumstances this is around 2.8%, but with so many different tests, this may be significantly higher. Therefore even a 10% result, may be meaningless. Today's results showed only 8% positive, against 25-35% in April.

The October figures for respiratory disease were normal for the time of year. Hospitals are also normal in terms of numbers ill for this time of year.

The figures quoted in the lockdown speech were already superceded by the same group and Whiitty and Valliance had access to the updated model.

OFCOM has prevented media outlets from reporting differing views on covid. Even facebook and twitter take down anything that goes against government views.

So what is going on?
Someone is starting to awaken. Keep looking the answers are there.
If they are there thorbyn
Why not just post them ?

You know from reputable sources now that the
Leader of fake news has gone.
Post Reply